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Martingale Trading Strategy: Implementation In Trading
Every trader involved in the crypto market has experienced a severe loss multiple times. In that situation, the typical behavior would be trying desperately to recover in the following trades by increasing the position size. That is what would be called a martingale implementation in trading.
Essentially, the martingale technique calls for doubling the position. But addressing the crypto markets without a well-defined method to implement martingale as a trading strategy could lead to irrational behaviors by traders, hence damaging the equity balance and other aspects of trading like psychology.
This article will explore some possibilities to implement the martingale concept as an effective trading strategy.
Crypto Markets and Martingale Trading Strategy
The martingale is, in essence, a recovery technique that aims to capitalize on a price movement following a losing trade. Based on the mean reversion theory, martingale focuses on doubling the initial size of a potential trading position with the expectation of obtaining superior results or at least the break-even on the equity balance. This way, traders can make a bet on a reversal movement to overcome previous losses by doubling the trade size.
Despite the opportunity offered by the martingale strategy to recover from losing streaks, it is crucial to comprehend how it works and know the potential pitfalls that traders can encounter during its implementation. This strategy is, after all, a high-risk approach to market price movements. We could say that it is even riskier than the average strategy. However, it is also possible to integrate the martingale approach into a curated trading plan, which can help traders recover in specific moments.
One of the most counterintuitive things that we can spot from the martingale strategy is that it overlooks, in theory, increasing the risk during losing streaks but reduces it by half during winning seasons, which means it looks to preserve the balance on winning streaks while doubling the size of the trading positions on losing streaks. In the crypto markets, where volatility plays a substantial role, the martingale might lead to decremental results.
Recognizing the nature of crypto markets and the martingale essence is crucial for this strategy and for traders to implement it effectively. Crypto assets can experience sharp price movements, and the ability to identify relevant zones or market seasons like range/consolidations or decisive trends might save traders from betting wrongly and repeatedly against the odds in their favor, and they could achieve a personalized implementation adjusted to their trading goals.
How To Trade the Martingale Strategy
Developing a trading plan that integrates the martingale as a resource to use in specific conditions can be a better option than trying it solely on its basis. For instance, the martingale theory states that traders should double the bet following a loss and reduce it by half on winnings. The other case is that it primarily suggests seeking a reversion. But are these the only ways to implement it? Maybe not.
To understand it better, let's point out the principles riding the martingale:
- Double the size of the initial trade after a loss.
- Seek probabilities for a recovery as you cannot lose all the time.
- High amounts of money requirements.
By understanding these principles, traders can begin to outline a trading strategy that reduces risks as much as possible. So, what would be a proper method to trade on a martingale basis?
Lets now spotlight some strategies:
- Grid Trading: Multiple orders are arranged at predetermined price levels for the bullish and bearish sides. In this sense, traders can set up the martingale technique in some of those orders, which implies doubling their initial size while it works under a proven strategy like grid systems.
- Trend-following: Martingale can be adapted to trend-following contexts rather than a reversal expectation. Traders would increase the position for the next movement in a trend, for example, following a pullback.
- Hedging: Similar to Martingale, but not strictly the same, hedging involves taking a position in the opposite direction to offset a potential loss on a current trade. By doubling the risk in this method, the martingale approach would be taking place.
We can also highlight some additional concepts to add a layer of assertiveness:
- Support and resistance: Study the most prominent supply and demand zones where the price is likely to experience price action.
- Chart patterns: Relevant candle formations and structures repeated over time, suggesting repetitive behavior by other traders, increasing the likelihood of a reversal or continuation of the price movement.
- Market Structure: This concept is prominent among ICT and SMC strategies, which analyze the overall market price history, looking for key levels susceptible to further manipulation or assembled by order blocks.
Implementation: Exploring The Best Markets For Martingale
The martingale implementation can also consider specific market seasons to exploit the best setups. Those like range-bound phases and trending assets can offer secure and suitable opportunities for martingale. Let's explore the mentioned markets.
Martingale In Ranges
Ranges are consolidation phases characterized by a sideways movement in the price action. In this case, the price goes from resistance to support levels, forming a pathway between top and bottom levels, from where it will bounce up or fall repeatedly.
Now imagine a range where a trader has lost in a false breakout over the resistance level. The trader could now wait for the price to visit the support zone to enter a new trade, where the position is now two times the initial risk.
Martingale In Trends
Trending markets are characterized by higher highs in uptrends and lower lows in downtrends, accompanied by pullbacks in the price action. Traders in this situation could fail to join the trend, taking a loss in the first place.
However, a pullback can present a second opportunity to join the trend, giving traders the chance to increase their position size for greater potential returns.
Examples, Technical Indicators, and Risk Considerations
Understanding the Martingale concept can help traders manage their emotions during losing streaks, providing a psychological framework. In the following table, we will try to illustrate the martingale implementation possibilities while considering risks.
Conclusion and Call to Action
The martingale is a high-risk technique for recovering after losing trades. The martingale does not compose a refined strategy and can lead traders to decremental results over the equity balance.
However, implementing it as part of a broader strategic plan can help traders recover from losses while maintaining moderate risk management. Strategies like trend-following or range phases in the market can present opportunities for a wise application of the martingale concept.
In Altrady you can use features related to smart trading and risk management that can serve as a basis to craft an effective strategy. Enroll in a free trial account with paper trading and start testing martingale techniques today.
Catalin is the co-founder of Altrady. With a background in Marketing, Business Development & Software Development. With more than 15 years of experience working in Startups or large corporations.