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Catalin
Published On: Aug 22, 2024
5 min

Best Swing Trading Strategy: Identifying Swing Opportunities

We could say swing trading is a long-term method for dealing with cryptocurrency markets from a weekly framework perspective and the mid-term procedure from an investor mindset viewpoint, where traders aim to capitalize on the extensive price fluctuation of digital securities.

Detecting opportunities for swing trading involves analyzing technical and fundamental factors since traders aim to hold positions in a price movement for a considerable time.

In the following sections, we will discuss the most approachable techniques for identifying swing trading opportunities, considering key aspects like consistency.

Best Swing Trading Strategy

Unveiling Swing Trading

Swing trading strategies are one of the most advanced forms to get involved in any financial market. This type of framework offers market participants various advantageous techniques for growing capital in a quieter environment, but it requires developing more consistency in the traders' performance.

Consistency is necessary since this type of trading aims to hold positions for days or even weeks, depending on the trader's plan. Such cases can be a real challenge for most inexperienced traders who have not yet developed conviction in a strategy and lack psychological strength.

Building patience to expect the best swing setup is not a minor matter.

Since this method is not precisely an investment, but it is not a highly speculative activity like day trading or scalping either, it bears the best of both worlds. In this sense, speculation has a relative place, although the mid-term approach demands finding a solid basis for decision-making.

From the previous statement, we can conclude that technical and fundamental analysis can help traders overcome swing trading challenges. For instance, a trader might identify an opportunity based on a technical thesis, but what are the probabilities for that thesis to be right in the future? That's a question we will try to decipher in the following sections.

Swing Trading And Cryptocurrency Markets

Successfully identifying swing opportunities will demand comprehending what type of market traders are dealing with. Just as trading oil is not the same as trading platinum with traditional securities, the same thing happens in the cryptocurrency market.

Trading large-cap assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana is not equal to trading small-cap ones like meme-coins. The former options may offer reliable swing opportunities, while the latter options may not, as they are perceived, in fact, as purely speculative assets.

Bitcoin indeed reflects a dominance over the market, which means that when BTC falls, most altcoins follow that movement. Conversely, when the main cryptocurrency rises, the rest of the market does as well. However, it is also possible to find exceptions to this rule when, for instance, a cryptocurrency has just been listed on an exchange or fundamental news about a project has been published.

These are crucial aspects to keep in mind when identifying swing opportunities in the cryptocurrency market, as traders may find themselves needing to close or adjust open positions, or in the best cases, they might find a gem to capitalize on during specific market seasons.

Some other aspects affecting crypto markets to consider:

  • Volatility.
  • Exchange Liquidity.
  • Altcoin season
  • BTC dominance.
  • Fundamentals like regulations and blockchain improvements.

Which strategy is best for identifying swing opportunities?

Once traders understand the type of market they are dealing with, choosing and developing a strategy is the next step. But which strategy is appropriate for swing trading? Well, in general, any strategy, each with its particular requirements, so let's review some.

  • Breakout Strategy: This one can come from a range or a trend. In the first case, the price would break out through the low end or high end of a consolidation phase, and in the second, through a trend line.
  • Pullback Trading: During prolonged trends, the price will retrace a few times. These movements would represent a pullback towards a better entry price to continue the established direction.
  • Reversal Movements: These can be spotted in false breakouts or at the turning point of a trend. Technical indicators crossovers and divergences can help confirm reversals.
  • Chart Pattern Formations: Looking for price action patterns is a reliable option for swing traders as they use higher time frames where chart formations like head and shoulders and double top have greater relevance.

Swing traders should consider employing all these strategies on higher time frames like 2h, 4h, and daily charts. In the best case, a confluence across different charts adds weight to the analysis.

Identifying Swing Opportunities: Examples With Indicator Techniques

Up to this point, we can now use the strategies exposed previously to point examples and outline techniques based on indicators. Let's build a table to make the process intuitive.

For the case of a trend breakout, traders can use moving averages like SMA and EMA, which are highly suitable and trustful for swing trading in their long-term calculations. They can act as trend lines, for example, using just the 200-period EMA:

  • A breakout below active uptrends will suggest a potential downside reversal.
  • A breakout above active downtrends will indicate a potential upside reversal.

In case of a pullback, using a faster version such as the 50-period EMA, for instance:

  • A bounce during uptrends or rejections during downtrends will indicate potential continuations.
  • Traders can spot a candlestick pattern as an entry signal.

For reversals, traders can also spot a candlestick pattern like the Three Black Crows and confirm it using an indicator like Bollinger Bands or the RSI. For example:

  • The price breaks above the upper band of the indicator while the pattern appears.
  • The RSI is at an overbought level, or even more reliably, it forms a divergence.

Conclusion

Swing trading can be a versatile approach to markets for capitalizing on mid-term movements. We explored and discussed how it would work for cryptocurrencies, and remarked on a typical challenge for these types of traders like developing consistency.

Traders can identify opportunities in range and trend breakouts, reversals, or continuation movements like pullbacks while employing chart patterns. We mentioned how RSI, Moving Averages and Bollinger Bands can confirm those scenarios.

Altrady offers a complete set of tools for swing trading, along with features like smart trading and alerts that can help safeguard positions over multiple days. You can also try our free trial with paper trading to start practicing swing trading opportunities right away.

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Catalin

Catalin is the co-founder of Altrady. With a background in Marketing, Business Development & Software Development. With more than 15 years of experience working in Startups or large corporations. 

@cboruga
@cboruga